Publications

Scholar profile: Piero Poletti


Journals papers

Recent works (2016-2017):

The interplay between individual social behavior and clinical symptoms in small clustered groups
P Poletti, R Visintainer, B Lepri, S Merler 2017 BMC Infectious Diseases 17 (1), 521

Spread of Zika virus in the Americas
Q Zhang et al 2017 Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 114 (22), E4334-E4343

Population dynamics of wild rodents induce stochastic fadeouts of a zoonotic pathogen G
Guzzetta et al. 2017 Journal of Animal Ecology 86 (3), 451-459

Social Contact Structures and Time Use Patterns in the Manicaland Province of Zimbabwe
A Melegaro et al. 2017 PloS one 12 (1), e0170459

Potential risk of dengue and chikungunya outbreaks in northern Italy based on a population model of Aedes albopictus (Diptera: Culicidae)
G Guzzetta et al. 2016 PLoS neglected tropical diseases 10 (6), e0004762

The role of climatic and density dependent factors in shaping mosquito population dynamics: the case of Culex pipiens in northwestern Italy
G Marini, P Poletti, M Giacobini, A Pugliese, S Merler, R Rosà 2016 PloS one 11 (4), e0154018

Assessing the potential risk of Zika virus epidemics in temperate areas with established Aedes albopictus populations
G Guzzetta et al 2016 Eurosurveillance 21 (15)

The epidemiology of herpes zoster after varicella immunization under different biological hypotheses: perspectives from mathematical modeling
G Guzzetta, P Poletti, S Merler, P Manfredi 2016 American journal of epidemiology 183 (8), 765-773

Before 2016:

V. Marziano, P. Poletti, G. Guzzetta, M. Ajelli, P. Manfredi, S. Merler. The impact of demographic changes on the epidemiology of Herpes Zoster: Spain as a case study. (2015) Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences.

P. Poletti, S. Merler, M. Ajelli, P. Manfredi, P. Munywoki, JD. Nokes, A. Melegaro. Evaluating vaccination startegies for reducing infant respiratory syncytial virus infection in low-income settings.  (2015) BMC Medicine.

M. Ajelli, P. Poletti, A. Melegaro, S. Merler. The role of different social contexts in shaping influenza transmission during the 2009 pandemic.  (2014) Nature Scientific Reports, 4:7218.

P. Poletti, A. Melegaro, M. Ajelli, E. del Fava, G. Guzzetta, L. Faustini, G. Scalia Tomba, P. Lopalco, C. Rizzo, S. Merler, P. Manfredi. Perspectives on the impact of varicella immunization on herpes zoster. A model-based evaluation from three European countries. PLOS ONE, 8(4):e60732, 2013 [IF 4.411 (11)]

G. Guzzetta, P. Poletti, E. Del Fava, M. Ajelli, G. Scalia Tomba, S. Merler, P. Manfredi. Hope-Simpson’s progressive immunity hypothesis as a possible explaination for Herpes Zoster incidence data. American Journal of Epidemiology, 177(10):1134-1142, 2013. [IF: 5.216 (11)]

A. D’Onofrio, P. Manfredi, p. Poletti. The interplay of public intervention and private choices in determining the outcome of vaccination programmes. PLOS ONE, In press, 2012.

P. Poletti, M. Ajelli, S. Merler. Risk perception and effectiveness of uncoordinated behavioral responses in an emerging epidemic. Mathematical Biosciences, In press, 2012

‪P. Poletti, G. Messeri , M. Ajelli , R. Vallorani, C. Rizzo , S. Merler. Transmission pottential of Chikungunya virus and control measures: the case of Italy. PLoS ONE, 2011 – in press

P. Poletti, M. Ajelli, S. Merler. The effect of risk perception on the 2009 H1N1 pandemic influenza dynamics. PLoS ONE 6(2):e16460, 2011.

A. d’Onofrio, P. Manfredi, P. Poletti. The impact of vaccine side effects on the natural history of immunization programmes: An imitation-game approach. ‪Journal of Theoretical Biology 273(1):63-71, 2011.

P. Manfredi, P. della Posta, A. d’Onofrio, E. Salinelli, F. Centrone, C. Meo, P. Poletti. Optimal vaccination choice, vaccination games, and rational exemption: an appraisal. Vaccine, 28(1):98-109, 2009.

Poletti P., Caprile B., Ajelli M., Pugliese A., Merler S., Spontaneous behavioural changes in response to epidemics, Journal of Theoretical Biology, 260(1): 31-40, 2009. (poletti09jtb)

Merler S., Poletti P., Ajelli M., Caprile B., Manfredi P., Coinfection can trigger multiple pandemic waves, Journal of Theoretical Biology 254(2): 499-507, 2008. (merler2008jtb)

 

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