Publications

Journals

Recent works:

G Marini, P Poletti, M Giacobini, A Pugliese, S Merler, R RosàThe Role of Climatic and Density Dependent Factors in Shaping Mosquito Population Dynamics: The Case of Culex pipiens in Northwestern Italy. (2016) PloS one 11 (4), e0154018

G Guzzetta, P Poletti, S Merler, P Manfredi. The Epidemiology of Herpes Zoster After Varicella Immunization Under Different Biological Hypotheses: Perspectives From Mathematical Modeling(2016) American Journal of Epidemiology 183 (8), 765-773.

G Guzzetta, P Poletti, F Montarsi, F Baldacchino, G Capelli, A Rizzoli,  et al. Assessing the potential risk of Zika virus epidemics in temperate areas with established Aedes albopictus populations. (2016) Euro surveillance

V. Marziano, P. Poletti, G. Guzzetta, M. Ajelli, P. Manfredi, S. Merler. The impact of demographic changes on the epidemiology of Herpes Zoster: Spain as a case study. (2015) Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences.

P. Poletti, S. Merler, M. Ajelli, P. Manfredi, P. Munywoki, JD. Nokes, A. Melegaro. Evaluating vaccination startegies for reducing infant respiratory syncytial virus infection in low-income settings.  (2015) BMC Medicine.

Before 2015:

M. Ajelli, P. Poletti, A. Melegaro, S. Merler. The role of different social contexts in shaping influenza transmission during the 2009 pandemic.  (2014) Nature Scientific Reports, 4:7218.

P. Poletti, A. Melegaro, M. Ajelli, E. del Fava, G. Guzzetta, L. Faustini, G. Scalia Tomba, P. Lopalco, C. Rizzo, S. Merler, P. Manfredi. Perspectives on the impact of varicella immunization on herpes zoster. A model-based evaluation from three European countries. PLOS ONE, 8(4):e60732, 2013 [IF 4.411 (11)]

G. Guzzetta, P. Poletti, E. Del Fava, M. Ajelli, G. Scalia Tomba, S. Merler, P. Manfredi. Hope-Simpson’s progressive immunity hypothesis as a possible explaination for Herpes Zoster incidence data. American Journal of Epidemiology, 177(10):1134-1142, 2013. [IF: 5.216 (11)]

A. D’Onofrio, P. Manfredi, p. Poletti. The interplay of public intervention and private choices in determining the outcome of vaccination programmes. PLOS ONE, In press, 2012.

P. Poletti, M. Ajelli, S. Merler. Risk perception and effectiveness of uncoordinated behavioral responses in an emerging epidemic. Mathematical Biosciences, In press, 2012

‪P. Poletti, G. Messeri , M. Ajelli , R. Vallorani, C. Rizzo , S. Merler. Transmission pottential of Chikungunya virus and control measures: the case of Italy. PLoS ONE, 2011 – in press

P. Poletti, M. Ajelli, S. Merler. The effect of risk perception on the 2009 H1N1 pandemic influenza dynamics. PLoS ONE 6(2):e16460, 2011.

A. d’Onofrio, P. Manfredi, P. Poletti. The impact of vaccine side effects on the natural history of immunization programmes: An imitation-game approach. ‪Journal of Theoretical Biology 273(1):63-71, 2011.

P. Manfredi, P. della Posta, A. d’Onofrio, E. Salinelli, F. Centrone, C. Meo, P. Poletti. Optimal vaccination choice, vaccination games, and rational exemption: an appraisal. Vaccine, 28(1):98-109, 2009.

Poletti P., Caprile B., Ajelli M., Pugliese A., Merler S., Spontaneous behavioural changes in response to epidemics, Journal of Theoretical Biology, 260(1): 31-40, 2009. (poletti09jtb)

Merler S., Poletti P., Ajelli M., Caprile B., Manfredi P., Coinfection can trigger multiple pandemic waves, Journal of Theoretical Biology 254(2): 499-507, 2008. (merler2008jtb)

 

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